Cedar Revolution
has become the most commonly used name for the chain of demonstrations and
popular civic action in Lebanon (mainly Beirut) triggered by the assassination
of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri on February 14, 2005.
The primary goals of the original activists were the withdrawal of Syrian troops
from Lebanon, the establishment of an international commission to investigate
the assassination of Prime Minister Hariri, the resignation of security
officials, and the organization of free parliamentary elections. The
demonstrators requested the end of the Syrian influence in Lebanese politics.
During the period of the first wave of demonstrations, Syria had been
maintaining a force of roughly 14,000 soldiers and intelligence agents in
Lebanon. Following the demonstrations, the Syrian troops completely withdrew
from Lebanon on April 27, 2005. The Pro-Syrian government was also disbanded,
accomplishing the main goal of the revolution. (For background information on
Syria's involvement in Lebanese politics, see the articles History of Lebanon,
Lebanese Civil War, and Syrian occupation of Lebanon.)
The opposition has taken, as its symbol, the white and red scarf, and the
pro-Hariri blue ribbon. Popular mottos of the movement were Horriyeh, Siyadeh,
Istiqlal (Freedom, Sovereignty, Independence), and Haqiqa, Horriyeh, Wahdeh
wataniyeh (Truth, Freedom, National unity).
Goals
The main goal of the Cedar Revolution was the
ending of the Syrian military occupation of Lebanon which had lasted about 30
years (since 1976). In addition, many Lebanese called for the return of former
Prime Minister Michel Aoun, in exile since 1989, and the release of the
imprisoned Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea as a goal of the revolution.
Some goals whose accomplishment is
sometimes cited in order for the revolution to end include:
-
Uniting all Lebanese in their fight for
freedom and independence
-
Ousting Karami's Pro-Syrian regime
-
Firing the six Lebanese commanders of the
nation's main security services along with the State Prosecutor
-
Executing the complete withdrawal of the
Syrian troops and their security services from Lebanon
-
Unmasking the killers of former Prime Minister
Rafik Hariri
-
Running free and democratic parliament
elections in spring 2005 free from Syrian interference
Origins of the name
Thee name "Cedar Revolution" is a term that was
coined by the U.S. Under Secretary of State for Global Affairs Paula J.
Dobriansky in a news conference, and used to draw a comparison with the
Rose Revolution of Georgia, the Orange Revolution of Ukraine, and the "Purple
Revolution" (as described by George W. Bush) of Iraq.
It is also known as Lebanon's Intifada-al-Istiqlal as well as Cedar Spring
(Rabi' el Arz), in reference to the prevailing season when protests first broke
out, and also as an allusion to famous freedom and independence movements like
the Prague Spring. The names used by the local media, like the LBC and
Future TV, to describe this event include Lebanon Independence (Istiqlal Lubnan),
Lebanon Spring (Rabi' Lubnan), or just Independence 05. It is also sometimes
called Arab Spring in reference to Prague Spring.
The word Cedar refers to a national emblem, the Lebanon Cedar, a tree featured
on the flag of Lebanon. The term "cedars of Lebanon" occurs throughout the
Hebrew Scriptures, "The trees of the LORD are well watered, the cedars of
Lebanon that he planted." Isaiah 2:13 NIV.
Main political parties involved in the revolution
In Alphabetical Order:
Democratic Renewal Movement (Harakat Al-Tajadod Al-Dimokrati)
Democratic Left (Yassar Dimoukrati)
Free Patriotic Movement (Tayyar Al-Watani Al-Horr)
Future Movement (Tayyar Al Mustaqbal)
Lebanese Forces (Ouwet el Lebneniye)
National Liberal Party (Hizb Al-Wataniyin Al-Ahrar)
Phalangist Party (Al-Kataeb Al-Loubnaniya)
Progressive Socialist Party(Hizb al-Taqadummi al-Ishtiraki)
Qornet Shehwan gathering (Liqa' Qornet Shehwan)
How it all started
On February 14, 2005, the former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri was
assassinated in a car-bomb attack, which killed 21 and wounded nearly 100.
Former Minister of Economy and Trade Bassel Fleihan later died as well from
injuries sustained in the blast. This attack sparked huge demonstrations that
seemed to unite large numbers of citizens from the usually fractured and
sectarian Lebanese population. It was the second such incident in four months:
former minister and MP Marwan Hamadeh had survived a car bomb attack on October
1, 2004.
Within hours of the assassination, Lebanese prosecutors issued warrants for the
arrest of six Australian nationals who flew out of Beirut to Sydney, Australia
three hours after the explosion claiming that seats occupied by the men had
tested positive for traces of explosives, and that they were travelling without
luggage. The Australian Federal Police interviewed ten individuals in Sydney
upon the arrival of the flight, and found the men they questioned did have
luggage. Although Sydney air port security sniffer dogs trained to find
explosives did react to aircraft seats occupied by the men, test swabs taken
from three of the men by the Australian Federal Police tested negative for
explosives. Within 48 hours, the Australian Federal Police absolved the six of
any involvement in the assassination, giving little credibility to claims of the
Lebanese officials.
Despite the lack, to date, of any actual substantial evidence implicating any
party or individual, the Syrian government has borne the brunt of Lebanese and
international outrage at the murder, because of its extensive military and
intelligence influence in Lebanon, as well as the public rift between Hariri and
Damascus just before his last resignation on October 20, 2004. The day after
Hariri's resignation, pro-Syrian former Prime Minister Omar Karami was appointed
Prime Minister.
Lebanese Druze leader Walid Jumblatt, a recent adherent to the anti-Syrian
opposition, emboldened by popular anger and civic action, alleged in the wake of
the assassination that in August 2004 Syrian President Bashar al-Assad
threatened Hariri, saying "[President of Lebanon] Lahoud is me. ... If you
and Chirac want me out of Lebanon, I will break Lebanon." He was quoted as saying
"When I heard him telling us those words, I knew that it was his condemnation of
death." The United States, the EU and the UN have stopped short of any
accusations, choosing instead to demand a Syrian pullout from Lebanon and an
open and international investigation of the Assassination. Jumblatt's comments
are not without controversy; the BBC describes him as "being seen by many as the
country's political weathervane" - consistently changing allegiances to emerge
on the winning side of the issues de jour through the turmoil of the 1975-90
civil war and its troubled aftermath. He was a supporter of Syria after the
war but switched sides after the death of former Syrian president Hafez al-Assad
in 2000. His account is quoted, but not confirmed, in the UN's FitzGerald
Report. The report stops short of directly accusing Damascus or any other party,
saying that only a further thorough international inquest can identify the
culprit. The Lebanese government has agreed to this inquiry, though calling for
the full participation, not supremacy, of its own agencies and the respect of
Lebanese sovereignty. (See international reaction below.)
On February 21, 2005 tens of thousands of Lebanese protestors held a rally at
the site of the assassination calling for an end of Syrian occupation and
blaming Syria and the pro-Syrian president Emile Lahoud for the murder. In the
subsequent weeks, nearly every Monday, a demonstration has been held at Beirut's
Martyrs Square (also referred to by protestors as "Liberty Square"), in addition
to the constant daily gathering of Lebanese there.
Similar demonstrations by Lebanese immigrants have also taken place in several
cities across the world, including Sydney - Australia (where over 10 000 people
demonstrated in the city), San Francisco, Paris, Düsseldorf, Montreal, and
London.
Syria's rift with Hariri is believed to have stemmed from his opposition to the
controversial Syrian-backed constitutional amendment that extended Lahoud's term
as President.
Government resigns
Daily protests against the Syrian occupation attracted 25,000 people. While in
the 1990s most anti-Syrian demonstrations were predominantly Christian and were
put down by force, the new demonstrations were distinctly non-sectarian and the
government had not, to date, responded with force or intimidation.
On February 28 the government of pro-Syrian prime minister Omar Karami resigned,
calling for a new election to take place. Karami said in his announcement: "I am
keen the government will not be a hurdle in front of those who want the good for
this country". The tens of thousands gathered at Beirut's Martyrs' Square
cheered the announcement, then chanted "Karami has fallen, your turn will come,
Lahoud, and yours, Bashar".
Opposition MPs were not satisfied with only Karami's resignation, and kept
pressing for full Syrian withdrawal. Former minister and MP Marwan Hamadeh, who
survived a similar car bomb attack on October 1, 2004, said "I accuse this
government of incitement, negligence and shortcomings at the least, and of
covering up its planning at the most... if not executing".
On March 23, Michel Abu Arraj, the Lebanese magistrate responsible for the
internal Lebanese investigation of the assassination asked to be excused, citing
a heavy court schedule. The Judicial Council of Lebanon is expected to rule on
his request shortly. His resignation and the consequent need to replace him
may result in a delay in the investigation.
International reaction
Hariri's murder triggered increased international pressure on Syria. In a joint
statement, U.S. President George W. Bush and French president Jacques Chirac
condemned the killing and called for full implementation of UN Security Council
Resolution 1559, which requires the withdrawal of Syrian troops from Lebanon and
the disarming of the Hezbollah group thriving in southern Lebanon.
At one point there seemed to be confusion about the extent to which Syria was
willing to withdraw from Lebanon. Arab League head Amr Moussa declared that
Syrian president Assad promised him a phased withdrawal over a two-year period,
but the Syrian Information Minister Mahdi Dakhlallah said that Moussa had
misunderstood the Syrian leader. Dakhlallah said that Syria will merely move its
troops to eastern Lebanon. Since then, Syria has declared that Resolution 1559
will be fully complied with, and in a matter of months rather than years.
On March 15, upon hearing purportedly leaked information that the United
Nations' special investigation may have found that the Lebanese authorities
covered up evidence of the murder, Columnist Robert Fisk alleges that Hariri's
two sons fled Lebanon, reportedly after being warned that they too were in
danger of assassination.
UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan, in response to a request by the Security
Council, sent a team of Irish, Egyptian and Moroccan specialists, led by
Ireland's deputy police commissioner, Peter FitzGerald, to investigate the
assassination. Even before the FitzGerald Report was published, Annan has said a
further, more comprehensive investigation may be necessary. FitzGerald thanked
the Lebanese government for its cooperation before departing. The report
cites the Syrian presence in Lebanon as a factor contributing to the instability
and polarization that preceded the assassination. The report also criticizes the
Lebanese government and intelligence agencies for the handling of their own
investigation into the affair, calling it flawed and inconclusive. The Lebanese
government in turn has described the report as "alien to reality" and criticized
the UN team for not seeking broader government participation in the
investigation. The government has agreed to a further, more comprehensive
international inquiry, but insisted that any future inquiry would have to work
with the government. At a press conference on March 25, Lebanese Foreign
Minister Mahmoud Hammoud said the inquiry would be expected to work within an
established framework "in co-operation with the state".
Syrian reaction
On March 2, 2005, Syrian leader Bashar Assad announced that his troops would
leave Lebanon completely "in the next few months". Responding to the
announcement, opposition leader Walid Jumblatt said that he wanted to hear more
specifics from Damascus about any withdrawal: "It's a nice gesture but 'next few
months' is quite vague - we need a clear-cut timetable". The closure and
evacuation of most Syrian military and intelligence offices and checkpoints in
and around the capital and elsewhere, along with substantial troop movements,
may indicate concrete moves towards full withdrawal. No actual complete pullout
has yet been certified by the UN, although U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza
Rice expressed cautious optimism on signs of some Syrian withdrawals.
On March 3, Germany and Russia (Syria's Cold War ally) joined those calling for
Syria to comply with Resolution 1559. German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder said:
"Lebanon should be given an opportunity for sovereignty and development and this
can only be achieved by complying with Security Council resolutions that
stipulate immediate Syrian withdrawal from Lebanon."
The Russian Foreign Minister, Sergei Lavrov, stated that "Syria should withdraw
from Lebanon, but we all have to make sure that this withdrawal does not violate
the very fragile balance which we still have in Lebanon, which is a very
difficult country ethnically."
On March 5 Syrian leader Assad declared in a televised speech that Syria would
withdraw its forces to the Bekaa Valley in eastern Lebanon, and then to the
border between Syria and Lebanon. He did not provide a timetable for a complete
withdrawal of Syrian forces from Lebanon.
On the weekend of April 9th and 10th, on the anniversary of the ignition of the
Lebanese Civil war, the last remaining Syrian troops left Lebanon, ending their
30 year presence.
Response from the Arab world
Arab states have also joined in with the withdrawal demands. As Al-Assad arrived
in Saudi Arabia for emergency consultation with Crown Prince Abdullah bin
Abdel-Aziz, Assad was told in no uncertain terms that Syria must comply with UN
Security Council demands immediately. It was reported by the opposition Lebanese
newspaper The Daily Star that Assad offered to remove most of the 15,000 troops
Syria has stationed in Lebanon during the talks, but insisted on leaving a force
of 3,000 in the country. This has not been independently corroborated.
The annual Arab summit, which took place on March 23 in Algeria, did not ask
Syria to withdraw, which would have given the pullback an Arab endorsement as
envisaged in the 1989 Taif Agreement rather than making it dependent on
Resolution 1559. Algerian Foreign Minister Abdel-Aziz Belkhadem discussed the
consensus ahead of the summit, stating that "we all agreed to demand the
implementation of the Taif Accord with respect to international legitimacy".
Controversially, the crisis in Lebanon was not included on the agenda for the
summit, which almost half of the Arab leaders did not attend.
Pro-Syrian demonstration
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah called for a "massive popular gathering" on
March 8 supporting Syria and accusing Israel and the United States of meddling
in internal affairs. Nasrallah also criticized UN Resolution 1559 saying "The
resistance will not give up its arms ... because Lebanon needs the resistance to
defend it", and added "all the articles of U.N. resolution give free services to
the Israeli enemy who should have been made accountable for his crimes and now
finds that he is being rewarded for his crimes and achieves all its demands."
This Beirut rally called by Hezbollah dwarfed the earlier anti-Syrian events;
CNN noted some news agencies estimated the crowd at 200,000, the Associated
Press news agency estimated that there were more than 500,000 pro-Syrian
protestors, while the New York Times and Los Angeles Times simply estimated
"hundreds of thousands". Al Jazeera reported a figure of 1.5 million.
The predominantly Shi'ite protestors held pictures of Syrian President Bashar
Assad and placards reading, in English, "No for the American Intervention". A
couple of anti-syrian media sources noted that it was likely that many of
Lebanon's approximately 500,000 Syrian guest workers participated in the
rally. In addition to demonstrating the extent of popular support for
Syria in Lebanon, the demonstration reiterated Hezbollah's rejection of
Resolution 1559, whose call for the disbanding of all Lebanese militias
threatens the continued existence of its military wing, the force widely
credited for the liberation of south Lebanon. Nasrallah also held demonstrations
in Tripoli and Nabatiyé on 11 and 13 March.
10 days after his resignation, Omar Karami was reappointed Prime Minister and
called on the opposition to participate in government until the elections slated
for April 2005.
On March 13, tens of thousands protested in the southern city of Nabatiyé in
support of Syria and opposition to UNSCR 1559, according to reports. The Tripoli
protests were cancelled.
Resurgent counter-demonstrations
On March 14, the one-month anniversary of the assassination of former Prime
Minister Rafik Hariri, hundreds of thousands of Lebanese, mainly Christians and
Druze, rallied in central Beirut on Monday chanting "Freedom, Sovereignty,
Independence" and carrying a huge Lebanese flag. They flocked from throughout
the country, many unable to even enter the city due to heavy traffic. The
peaceful rally was considered to be "the largest demonstration ever seen in
Lebanon", with estimations of a turnout ranging from 800,000 to more than
one million; the international news media also estimated that it was
considerably larger than the earlier pro-Syrian rally. The demonstration was
called by the different factions of the anti-Syrian opposition (including the
Hariri family and other groupings) and was trumpeted by the different private
media, namely Future TV, a private enterprise that is part of the huge media
empire controlled by Hariri's family and the Lebanese Broadcasting Corporation
LBCI, generally aligned with the Lebanese Forces christian party.
The demonstration occurred in Martyrs' Square, the site of Hariri's grave and a
center of the newly reconstructed city rebuilt in large part through Hariri's
efforts. During the Lebanese civil war, factional infighting between the groups
united in Martyrs' Square had turned the area into an impassable moonscape.
The Lebanese protestors demanded an international inquiry into Hariri's murder,
the firing of Syrian-backed security chiefs in the Lebanese government, and a
total Syrian pullout from Lebanon.
Events following March 14, 2005
At about midnight on Saturday, March 19, 2005, a blast shook the northern suburb
of New Jdeideh, a part-residential, part-commercial area, injuring 11 people.
Early on Wednesday morning, March 23, 2005, a bomb tore through a shopping
center in Kaslik, near the port of Jounieh, approximately 10 miles (15km) north
of Beirut, killing an unidentified person and two Indian workers, and injuring
one Lebanese. The bomb collapsed the roof of the center and shattered shop
windows. The area is considered the heartland of the Christian, anti-Syrian
opposition. President Emile Lahoud has ordered an investigation. He said the
attack sought to propel Lebanon into "chaos and fear" and he renewed calls for
discussions between opposition and government/loyalist politicians "as the only
means to break the current deadlock and bridge all differences". The opposition
has blamed Damascus supporters for recent violence, saying they are keen to stir
unrest to justify the presence of Syrian troops in Lebanon. "It is clear that
those who carried out this attack are targeting the security and stability of
the country," opposition lawmaker Faris Bouez told reporters at the scene.
On Sunday night, March 27, 2005, a large bomb exploded in a mostly Christian
suburb of Beirut, causing extensive damage and killing two Indian citizens who
were working in the area and injuring eight other people. The United States
condemned the latest attack, and called for improved security measures. The
blast caused panic throughout Beirut, with mounting concerns of deteriorating
stability. Pro-Syrian terrorist groups are suspected of undermining the
country's stability to discourage the withdrawal of Syrian troops, although no
persons or groups have yet been identified as suspects.
On Thursday, March 31, 2005, a group of 70 opposition MPs met to demand that a
neutral administration be in place to oversee the planned May 31 elections. In a
statement, they said "The authorities are working to sabotage elections in a
dangerous bid to prolong the mandate of the current parliament," the opposition
said in a statement. The opposition blames the head of state Emile Lahoud,
parliament speaker Nabih Berri and parliament for this situation, and calls for
them to meet their obligations without delaying tactics." This was in response
to the postponement of Prime Minister Omar Karami's official stepping down,
which was meant to have taken place on April 5, and is now postponed until at
least April 8. Karami was forced to step down again after being reappointed
because he failed to prevail on members of the opposition to join a national
unity government.
On Monday, April 18, 2005, Former Minister of Economy and Trade Bassel Fleihan
died in Paris, finally succumbing to injuries sustained in the February 14th
blast. Fleihan was sitting beside Hariri when the explosion occurred; although
his survival was heralded as a miracle, he suffered severe burns over 95% of his
body. Fleihan is the second major public figure to have been killed by the
bombing.
May 6, 2005, Twenty-two people were wounded in the attack in Jounieh and five of
them are still hospitalised reports AFP, No one was killed in the explosion,
contrary to the early reports that emerged after the attack.
June 2, 2005, After a long period without attacks, a car bomb in a mostly
Christian neighborhood of Beirut kills Samir Kassir, a prominent Anti-Syrian
journalist who wrote for the An-Nahar newspaper. Samir Kassir was also one of
the founders of the Democratic Left Movement.
June 2, 2005, Thousands of Lebanese gather during a nighttime vigil to pay their
respects to Samir Kassir.
Withdrawal of Syrian troops
On April 26, 2005 international news agencies and the UN reported the last
Syrian troops and intelligence agents had crossed the border in withdrawal from
Lebanon. The Syrian government officially notified the United Nations that it
had withdrawn its troops in line with UN Security Council Resolution 1559,
adopted in September of 2004. In a letter to the UN, Syrian Foreign Minister
Farouq al-Shara said his country "would like to officially inform you that the
Syrian Arab forces stationed in Lebanon, at the request of Lebanon and under an
Arab mandate, have fully withdrawn all their military, security apparatus and
assets." On April 27, 2005, the Lebanese People celebrated for the first time
their first FREE-FROM-SYRIA day. Also on April 27, 2005, the Washington Post
reported that "Syria has not withdrawn a significant part of its intelligence
presence in Lebanon, undermining its claim yesterday to have ended its 29-year
intervention in its western neighbor, U.S., European and U.N. officials said."
This claim was reiterated by US Secretary of State, Condoleezza Rice on May 25.
Additional violent repercussions
In addition to the car-bombs listed above that have gone off all over Lebanon,
many Syrian workers have also been killed or wounded. According to Amnesty
International, tens of Syrian workers have been killed and scores of others
beaten, shot, threatened or robbed in Lebanon since the assassination of former
Lebanese Prime Minister Rafiq al-Hariri on 14 February 2005. Lebanese assailants
set fire to tents and other temporary housing of Syrian workers.
Wave of democracy?
Both participants and observers of the Cedar Revolution demonstrations have
asked if the movement was influenced by recent local and regional events
supporting democracy. Recent elections in Afghanistan, Iraq, and by the
Palestinian Authority, a recent announcement that Egyptian President Hosni
Mubarak will allow multiparty elections, and recent limited municipal elections
in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, as well as the Orange Revolution in Ukraine, may
have provided examples of movement toward democratic governance. Lebanese Druze
leader Walid Jumblatt remarked to a reporter of the Washington Post, "It's
strange for me to say it, but this process of change has started because of the
American invasion of Iraq. I was cynical about Iraq. But when I saw the Iraqi
people voting three weeks ago, 8 million of them, it was the start of a new Arab
world". In this sense, the Cedar Revolution may also prove to be a dividend of
the Bush administration's global war on terror.
Other views maintain that Lebanese anger against perceived Syrian hegemony had
been simmering for decades, and the assassination of a popular leader was the
spark that gave birth to the movement, independently of foreign and regional
developments. Lebanese opposition leader and newspaper columnist Samir Kassir,
for example, wrote that "democracy is spreading in the region not because of
George Bush but despite him." He gave far more credit to the Palestinian
uprising as an inspiration to Lebanese activists.
Others caution that very little has actually changed, apart from the mainly
"cosmetic" disappearance of Syrian Soldiers from their presence on the outskirts
of Lebanese cities, and that Syrian control of Lebanese foreign affairs and
trade may yet endure. Some critics argue that the rush to celebrate a supposed
'Revolution' was far too premature.
When Omar Karami failed to form a government, he resigned for good on April 13,
2005, and elections were called for the period of May 29 through June 19, 2005.
Saad al-Hariri formed an anti-Syrian bloc that, ultimately, won 72 of the 128
available seats in the unicameral National Assembly.
Following Israel's air strikes on Lebanon in July 2006, the position of the
United States was under scrutiny with regard to its professed strong support for
the Siniora Government which eventually emerged from the so-called Cedar
Revolution. The US, while having engaged in dialogue with the Syrian Muslim
Brotherhood, reproached Syria for its contacts with Hezbollah, while expecting
Syria to use its good offices to rein in Hezbollah, but refusing in turn to rein
in Israel. This underlined the fragility of the Siniora Government. Some would
argue that the US's passivity vis-a-vis Israel in July 2006 demonstrated the
limited extent of its commitment to the survival of the Siniora Government. It
is arguable also that failure to support Siniora by diplomatically restraining
Israel could create a vacuum into which the Syrian influence, which the US
professes to wish to counter, could re-emerge. Others, including the
Neo-Conservatives particularly identified with US support for the so-called
Cedar Revolution, would argue that the US's role in Lebanon is wholly benign.